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Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Public Policy Group Support Systems Part 1 - Jeremy Lin Jersey




1 Jeremy Lin Jersey.Research Motives and ObjectivesIn the wake of a changing, international community, public policy has become a major topic of discussion for governments when considering present and future undertakings.

The ever increasing complexity of public affairs, and rapid expansion in how a government functions, brings a diverse number of problems policy makers must face, and, through no lack of effort on their part, its not possible for them to take everything into consideration nike dunks for sale. In order to supplement bias shown by the individual, I hope to integrate systems implementing expert knowledge and information technology to support policy makers in arriving at optimum decisions in an environment full of risk and uncertainty.

Future society will be an information society, and Japanese futurologist Zeng-Tian Mi-Er in his book "Managing In the Information Society", predicts the future information society will be an equal society of citizen participation, information sharing and division of labor (translated by You Wan-Juan, 1984) Jeremy Lin Jersey. In pace with the integration and universal application of computers and communication technology, a nations overall strength will rely heavily on its ability to put information to good use.

President Kennedy's, political advisor, T nike mercurial victory.C. Sorensen, once said: "Intellectual Interaction between many people far exceeds an individuals intuition in inspiring thoughts (Sorensen, 1963:59).

" 1978 economics Nobel prize winner Simon, in his momentous work Administrative Behavior, considered modern government policy to be nothing but a product of "group consultation" (Simon, 1976). Therefore, the main objective of this dissertation is to conceive a Group Support System workable in a public policy decision process. Hopefully, this will promote communication, coordination, information striking a common objective - supporting policy makers formulating policy alternatives, consolidating policy analysis skills, enhancing policy efficiency and quality, finding the optimum government policy and solving policy problems.2. Research Framework and Methods1. Research FrameworkThe framework of this research paper can be looked at from two perspectives: the vertical perspective defines the public policy decision process into several divisions form of policy problem, policy planning policy evaluation and policy implementation; the horizontal perspective examines the problem by relating several different functional modules. The operating system is thus designed with this framework in mind, see Diagram 1.2. Research MethodsThe research methods used in mis dissertation are listed as follows:(1)Referenced LiteratureMajor decision theory models related to public policy making and research models on group support systems. Analysis of research developments on related group support systems and motivation from later Researchers(2) Computer SimulationUsing computer simulation, analyzing how group support systems can be put to use in the process of public policy decision making the conditions supporting policy making at every stage in the group support system from the form of policy problem, policy planning, policy implementation to policy assessment. The "Public Policy Making Group Support System" formulated in this research paper was established by carrying out analysis on, via computer simulation, sorting, statistics compiling and data recording/filing of data collections, classification coding, data and knowledge bases, etc.(3) Analytical Hierarchy ProcessThe major function of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is to solve complex policy problems. As proposed by US Operations Research specialist, Thomas L. Saaty, in 1971, AHP is a system decision analytical model, mainly employed where multi-criteria decisions apply (Saaty, 1980). The steps involved in its application are : (1) define the problem, (2) identify the criteria, (3) structure the hierarchy, (4) construct a pair-wise comparison matrix, (5) obtain all judgment, (6) calculate priority vectors value and overall priority vectors, (7) evaluate consistency.(4) Multi-attribute Utility AnalysisMulti-attribute Utility Analysis (MAUT), a resources distribution and decision making method for policy alternatives, originating from the "Bayesian Decision Method". Theoretical policy alternatives have the following basic attributes:(a) Comparison between policy alternatives(b) Any policy must take responsibility for citizens or diversified groups and their different benefits.(c) Policy alt

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